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The Monologue about a prosperous life

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    The Monologue about a prosperous life

  The Monologue about a prosperous life
  
  
  The second meeting of Donald Trump and Kim Jong-un is coming to an end.
  
  In the most simplified expression the situation looks so: one party needs a denuclearization, and other party needs resources (removal of sanctions).
  
  The question is that there are risks of non-performance (partial or full) each of the parties of the obligations.
  
  The question is which party should accept (onto the own account) these risks. If we are talking about historically and civilizationally close countries, the presence of trust helps in complex negotiations.
  
  In this case, probably, the trust is insufficient.
  
  However, apart from the "big politics" there is also "the usual business practices". A nobody of a former leaders of the states prosperously, safely live in Switzerland or in French riviera?
  
  But, again, there are risks ...
  
  Thus, Kim Jong-un needs time or "to be turned out" from extreme difficult (almost desperate) situation or "to grow" into modern "western" society. In the spare version in order that got used to him, "accepted" him, and so he could live in peace and comfort in a quiet, comfortable and safe place.
  
  So, Kim Jong-un needs time ...
  
  But, on the other hand, Kim Jong-un has not much time. Different it is possible to give thoughts concerning a lack of time at North Korea. Let's note obvious: it is not enough resources.
  
  So, Kim Jong-un in any option should risk. Just the risk will be a miscellaneous.
  
  And the USA will be won anyway. Just a winning will look miscellaneous.
  
  And one more consideration. In certain options Kim Jong-un's risk will be personal (or of a narrow group) - with an exit in "normal life" of most of residents of North Korea. In other options they will risk "together": both Kim Jong-un, and most of residents of North Korea together with him. So some options and opportunities for maneuver (so far) are available for Kim Jong-un.
  
  As for the USA, they, probably, have reliable information on a situation and they control succession of events ...
  
  
  February 28, 2019 11:07
  
  
  Translation from Russian into English: February 28, 2019 11:41.
  Владимир Владимирович Залесский 'Монолог о благополучной жизни'.
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